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Corporate Investment Slump Raises Growth Concerns

Why in NEWS
India’s corporate investment remains sluggish despite significant government incentives. The Index of Industrial Production (IIP) growth fell to a nine-month low of 1.2% in June 2025, raising concerns about economic growth and job creation.

Key Terms / Concepts

TermExplanation
IIP (Index of Industrial Production)Monthly indicator measuring industrial output trends in manufacturing, mining, and electricity sectors
GFCF (Gross Fixed Capital Formation)Measures net increase in physical assets (investment) by businesses
Capacity UtilizationExtent to which a firm uses its installed productive capacity
Multiplier EffectEconomic concept where an initial spending leads to increased income and consumption, amplifying overall economic activity
PLI SchemeGovernment incentives provided to specific sectors based on incremental output
Viability Gap FundingGovernment funding for infrastructure projects that are economically necessary but financially unviable
Price-to-Income Ratio (PTI)Measures housing affordability; ratio of median home price to annual income

News Summary: Key Points

FactorDetails
Weak DemandDespite profit rise due to corporate tax cut (30% to 22% in 2019), firms hesitate to invest due to low consumer demand and wage stagnation
RBI Policy LimitationsInterest rate cuts and liquidity infusion failed to lift business confidence without matching demand
Capacity UnderutilizationFirms hesitate to invest in new capacity when existing ones remain underused
Falling Investment-to-GDP RatioDown to 12% in FY23 from 16% during 2004–08 boom; insufficient for >8% growth target
Low Multiplier of Public Capex₹11.21 lakh crore Capex in FY26 (3.1% of GDP) but low job creation and long project gestation reduce private sector response
Loan Disbursement DelaysCredit to infra sector grew only 2.1% YoY (Nov 2023); road sector loans slowed too
Global FactorsGlobal protectionism and tariff barriers lower export-led investment opportunities

Economic Theories: Investment vs Profit

EconomistViewpoint
Tugan BaranovskyInvestment creates its own demand if capital and consumption goods are balanced
Rosa LuxemburgProfit does not automatically lead to reinvestment; firms act independently, not collectively
Michał KaleckiInvestment drives profits, but low demand prevents investment; external stimulus is needed to break the cycle

Government Measures to Boost Investment

InitiativeObjective
Make in India, Startup IndiaPromote innovation and manufacturing
PM GatiShaktiIntegrate logistics and infra development
PLI SchemesIncentivize sectoral production
NICDPDevelop industrial corridors
Ease of Doing Business ReformsStreamline regulations
NSWSSingle-window investor platform
India Industrial Land BankReal-time land availability data
Project Monitoring GroupFast-track stalled project approvals
FDI Reforms90%+ FDI via automatic route; open sectors

Suggested Policy Directions

Focus AreaRecommendations
Boost DemandIncrease rural wages via MGNREGA, social schemes, cash transfers
Labour-Intensive SectorsPrioritize housing and MSME support to increase employment
Factor Market ReformsLower land prices via transparent policy; PTI ~11 in cities must reduce
De-risk Private InvestmentViability gap funds, credit guarantee for growth-stage firms
Green & Digital CapexIncentivize sustainable tech adoption and circular economy
Mission-Linked InvestmentAlign industry with national missions (defence, EVs, semiconductors)
Confidence BuildingMaintain inflation, ensure fiscal transparency, and fast-track infra clearances

In a Nutshell

Memory Code – DRIP-PIG
Demand boost
Reform factor markets
Infrastructure de-risking
Public investment alignment
PLI and green growth
Industrial land & project facilitation
Global export opportunities

Prelims Practice Questions

  1. Consider the following statements:
    1. The Production Linked Incentive (PLI) Scheme offers output-based incentives to select sectors.
    2. Gross Fixed Capital Formation (GFCF) reflects changes in inventory levels.
    3. Investment-to-GDP ratio required for 8%+ growth is around 35%.
      Which of the statements are correct?
      a) 1 and 2 only
      b) 1 and 3 only
      c) 2 and 3 only
      d) All of the above
  2. Which of the following correctly explains the term “Viability Gap Funding”?
    a) A form of tariff subsidy for exports
    b) Grant support to bridge shortfall in infrastructure project returns
    c) Insurance coverage for PPPs in agriculture
    d) None of the above
  3. The concept that “investment drives profit and not the other way around” is attributed to:
    a) Adam Smith
    b) Michał Kalecki
    c) John Hicks
    d) Tugan Baranovsky

Mains Questions

  1. Despite strong public capital expenditure and reforms, corporate investment in India remains subdued. Discuss the causes and suggest a roadmap for revival. (UPSC GS3 – Economy)
  2. How do economic theories like those of Kalecki and Luxemburg explain the current investment stagnation in India? Apply these theories to critique India’s current investment strategy.

Prelims Answers & Explanations

QnAnswerExplanation
1b) 1 and 3 onlyGFCF excludes inventories; PLI is output-linked and 35%+ Inv/GDP needed for high growth
2b)VGF is a capital grant for economically essential but financially unviable infra projects
3b) Michał KaleckiHe emphasized that investment drives profits, especially under demand-deficient conditions

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